RocketFinance · Kalshi
Will the South African Reserve Bank cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
As of Oct 27, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 6%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 6%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 19, 2026 (23d 3h)
- Volume
- $14,694
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Fort Hare Stun JVW, Stellies and Diepkloof Boost Survival Hopes - South African Football Association · safa.net
- South Africa: Joburg Faces 3-Month Wait for Water Relief - South African News Briefs - October 27, 2026 · allafrica.com
- SA U15 defeat log leaders to finish 2nd in the World Cup - South African Football Association · safa.net
- NIVEA MEN takes South African winners to Spain for a Real Madrid experience · gq.co.za
- Kip Moore Reigns Supreme in Mzansi: A Humble Superstar with a Massive South African Presence · ofm.co.za
- East Coast Radio earns 15 South African Podcast Awards finalist nominations · ecr.co.za
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the South African Reserve Bank cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 6%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the South African Reserve Bank cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 19, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-27 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.