Finance · Kalshi
Will year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?
As of Oct 27, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 8%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 8%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 10, 2026 (44d 3h)
- Volume
- $5,165
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- GMBT | Panthers Fall Back to .500 | Inflation Hacks · wbt.com
- Halloween Candy Sales Fall as Inflation Squeezes US Shoppers · indiawest.com
- FXStreet Reports TD Securities Forecasts 3.1% Core PCE Inflation · econotimes.com
- Australian Dollar Slips 0.26% Ahead of Fed Decision and CPI · econotimes.com
- UK Shop Price Inflation Rises: BRC · rttnews.com
- KLN Family Brands honors employees with Core Belief Awards · perhamfocus.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 8%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-27 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.