RocketScience

Finance · Kalshi

Will year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?

As of Oct 27, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 8%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.

Market odds
8%
Our forecast
🔒 Members
Call
🔒 Members
Closes
Dec 10, 2026 (44d 3h)
Volume
$5,165
Exchange
Kalshi

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Why we think this

  • We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?”?

Traders on Kalshi price it at 8%.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?”?

Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.

When does this market close?

It closes on Dec 10, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-27 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.