RocketPolitics · Polymarket
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
As of Nov 6, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 72%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 72%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 29, 2026 (22d 5h)
- Volume
- $176,017
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 30 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Taiwan panel makers win Tier 1 foothold in automotive displays · digitimes.com
- Taiwan Semiconductor Just Won Big in The Midterms · 247wallst.com
- Republicans hold on to win most Bartholomew Count races; Democrat Janae Garner-Kelley wins council seat · wkkg.com
- Democrats win most statewide offices in Ohio · mariettatimes.com
- Kennametal (NYSE:KMT) Stock Falls 13% – Here's Why · themarketsdaily.com
- Taiwan Attacks and Possible Violence in PRC Repression · jamestown.org
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 72%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 29, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-11-06 23:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.