RocketPolitics · Polymarket
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
As of Nov 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 11%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 11%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Apr 1, 2028 (512d 17h)
- Volume
- $871,578
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 26 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Prime Minister, Kuwait's Foreign Minister hold phone call | The Peninsula Qatar · thepeninsulaqatar.com
- UTJ declines to endorse candidate for prime minister · israelnationalnews.com
- Presidential consultations enter final stretch in selection of prime minister · jpost.com
- Spain Rail Minister Defends Line After Crash · riotimesonline.com
- 31 years since assassination of Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin · clevelandjewishnews.com
- Swedish parliament rejects Centre Party leader as next prime minister · thelocal.se
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 11%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Apr 1, 2028 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-11-05 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.