RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 42 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?
As of Nov 6, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 4%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 4%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 7, 2026 (30d 15h)
- Volume
- $3,000
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 15 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Democrat James Talarico wins US Senate race in Texas · en.apa.az
- Democrat James Talarico will win Texas Senate race, CNN projects · kitv.com
- Democrat James Talarico wins Texas Senate seat · kgou.org
- James Talarico Won Texas Before Election Day Even Started · newrepublic.com
- UGH BREAKING: James Talarico wins in Texas · therightscoop.com
- James Talarico leads Ken Paxton in early Texas Senate returns · texastribune.org
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 42 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 4%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 42 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 7, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-11-06 23:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.