RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will the number of the 13 Republican-favored 2026 U.S. Senate general elections (including special elections) listed in the Additional Details won by a nominee of the Republican Party be at least 12 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
As of Nov 6, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 90%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 90%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 15, 2026 (38d 15h)
- Volume
- $18,113
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 41 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the number of the 13 Republican-favored 2026 U.S. Senate general elections (including special elections) listed in the Additional Details won by a nominee of the Republican Party be at least 12 at the November 3, 2026 general election?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 90%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the number of the 13 Republican-favored 2026 U.S. Senate general elections (including special elections) listed in the Additional Details won by a nominee of the Republican Party be at least 12 at the November 3, 2026 general election?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 15, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-11-06 23:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.