RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 8 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? — Pingree by 8-12
As of Nov 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 69%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 69%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 7, 2026 (32d 4h)
- Volume
- $1,745
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 23 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Hannah Einbinder debuts Haley Stevens impression after Abdul El-Sayed's Michigan senate victory · tribune.com.pk
- Maine Senate Race — Troy Jackson Defeats Susan Collins · redstate.com
- Troy Jackson wins Maine 2026 Senate election, flipping seat for Democrats · cbsnews.com
- Maine: Troy Jackson best incumbent Susan Collins in close Senate race · wbur.org
- WGAN Projects Troy Jackson as Winner in High-Stakes Maine Senate Race · wgan.com
- Hannah Pingree Wins Maine Governor Race · i95rocks.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 8 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? — Pingree by 8-12”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 69%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 8 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? — Pingree by 8-12”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 7, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
More politics predictions
- Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? crowd 27%
- Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? crowd 74%
- Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? crowd 11%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? crowd 36%
- Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? crowd 88%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? crowd 30%
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? crowd 32%
- Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026? crowd 38%
Last updated 2026-11-05 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.