RocketPolitics · Polymarket
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
As of Nov 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 82%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 82%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 29, 2026 (23d 18h)
- Volume
- $37,782
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 26 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Chicago Mayor Johnson congratulates Illinois Democrats on election wins · abc7chicago.com
- Henderson Mayor Michelle Romero wins re-election against former police chief · news3lv.com
- Charleston Mayor Amy Goodwin wins re-election · wchstv.com
- Yukon mayor loses seat following recall election result · okcfox.com
- Election 2026 | Kim Bergel ahead in Eureka mayor race · times-standard.com
- Poway Mayor Steve Vaus ahead in election over 2 challengers · 10news.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 82%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 29, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-11-05 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.